President Trump's repeated calls for negotiations to purchase Greenland, including his January 2026 Davos pledge for immediate talks and a recent Mar-a-Lago mention, have met staunch opposition from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, who insist sovereignty is non-negotiable. Danish Prime Minister and Greenland officials reiterated rejections amid U.S. Arctic security concerns over Russian advances, echoing 2019 rebuffs. Secretary Rubio's push for a negotiated deal shows no progress, with European allies rallying support. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects historical precedents of failed bids, constitutional hurdles for U.S. territorial acquisition, and lack of diplomatic momentum, though late-breaking concessions or escalations could shift odds before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$31,143,071 Vol.
$31,143,071 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$31,143,071 Vol.
$31,143,071 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's repeated calls for negotiations to purchase Greenland, including his January 2026 Davos pledge for immediate talks and a recent Mar-a-Lago mention, have met staunch opposition from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, who insist sovereignty is non-negotiable. Danish Prime Minister and Greenland officials reiterated rejections amid U.S. Arctic security concerns over Russian advances, echoing 2019 rebuffs. Secretary Rubio's push for a negotiated deal shows no progress, with European allies rallying support. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects historical precedents of failed bids, constitutional hurdles for U.S. territorial acquisition, and lack of diplomatic momentum, though late-breaking concessions or escalations could shift odds before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$31,143,071End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's repeated calls for negotiations to purchase Greenland, including his January 2026 Davos pledge for immediate talks and a recent Mar-a-Lago mention, have met staunch opposition from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, who insist sovereignty is non-negotiable. Danish Prime Minister and Greenland officials reiterated rejections amid U.S. Arctic security concerns over Russian advances, echoing 2019 rebuffs. Secretary Rubio's push for a negotiated deal shows no progress, with European allies rallying support. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects historical precedents of failed bids, constitutional hurdles for U.S. territorial acquisition, and lack of diplomatic momentum, though late-breaking concessions or escalations could shift odds before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$31,143,071End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's repeated calls for negotiations to purchase Greenland, including his January 2026 Davos pledge for immediate talks and a recent Mar-a-Lago mention, have met staunch opposition from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, who insist sovereignty is non-negotiable. Danish Prime Minister and Greenland officials reiterated rejections amid U.S. Arctic security concerns over Russian advances, echoing 2019 rebuffs. Secretary Rubio's push for a negotiated deal shows no progress, with European allies rallying support. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects historical precedents of failed bids, constitutional hurdles for U.S. territorial acquisition, and lack of diplomatic momentum, though late-breaking concessions or escalations could shift odds before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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