Market icon

Will Tim Walz drop out by...?

Market icon

Will Tim Walz drop out by...?

$654,116 Vol.

Jan 6, 2026
Polymarket

$654,116 Vol.

Polymarket

January 6

$599,233 Vol.

Yes

March 31

$54,883 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 gubernatorial campaign, by January 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tim Walz or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$654,116
End Date
Jan 6, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 gubernatorial campaign, by January 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tim Walz or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Tim Walz drop out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "January 6" at 100%, followed by "March 31" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Tim Walz drop out by...?" has generated $654.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Tim Walz drop out by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Tim Walz drop out by...?" is "January 6" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Tim Walz drop out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.