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Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?

$341,423 Vol.

1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea between January 29 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$341,423
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 9:17 PM
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$341,423 Vol.

Market icon

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?

1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea between January 29 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$341,423
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 9:17 PM