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Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

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Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$37,753 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$37,753 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government.

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$37,753
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 12, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government. The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government.

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$37,753
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 12, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government. The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

" Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?" has generated $37.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for " Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for " Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.