Market icon

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

$900,080 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

This market refers to the shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion Tesla pay package scheduled for November 6, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla shareholders approve a compensation plan for Elon Musk that is substantially the same as the proposed $1 trillion plan, meaning a performance-based pay structure of comparable scale and scope, designed to grant equity awards worth roughly $1 trillion at full vesting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

Minor amendments to the compensation plan that change its total potential value or structure by less than 10% will count. Changes exceeding this threshold will not.

If the meeting is rescheduled, this market will remain open until the decision is announced. If the meeting is rescheduled beyond December 31, 2025, permanently canceled, or the decision is otherwise not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla’s investor relations and SEC filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$900,080
End Date
Nov 6, 2025
Created At
Oct 22, 2025, 10:16 PM

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$900,080 Vol.

Market icon

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

>99% chance

About

This market refers to the shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion Tesla pay package scheduled for November 6, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla shareholders approve a compensation plan for Elon Musk that is substantially the same as the proposed $1 trillion plan, meaning a performance-based pay structure of comparable scale and scope, designed to grant equity awards worth roughly $1 trillion at full vesting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

Minor amendments to the compensation plan that change its total potential value or structure by less than 10% will count. Changes exceeding this threshold will not.

If the meeting is rescheduled, this market will remain open until the decision is announced. If the meeting is rescheduled beyond December 31, 2025, permanently canceled, or the decision is otherwise not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla’s investor relations and SEC filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$900,080
End Date
Nov 6, 2025
Created At
Oct 22, 2025, 10:16 PM

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes