President Trump held a confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March amid the escalating US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and calls for allied action on oil routes, solidifying trader consensus at near 100% implied probability for that outcome in this multi-option market on March 1-31 verbal or in-person talks. Reports of discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte surfaced via CBS and CNN interviews, but lack consensus for resolution, holding odds at 4%; Xi Jinping talks remain unverified below 1%. Traders weigh diplomatic signals for de-escalation or regime change, with market resolution tied to credible reporting as Hormuz tensions persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$4,549,168 Vol.

Mohammed bin Salman
100%

Mark Rutte
4%

Xi Jinping
<1%
$4,549,168 Vol.

Mohammed bin Salman
100%

Mark Rutte
4%

Xi Jinping
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Final review
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Final review
President Trump held a confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March amid the escalating US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and calls for allied action on oil routes, solidifying trader consensus at near 100% implied probability for that outcome in this multi-option market on March 1-31 verbal or in-person talks. Reports of discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte surfaced via CBS and CNN interviews, but lack consensus for resolution, holding odds at 4%; Xi Jinping talks remain unverified below 1%. Traders weigh diplomatic signals for de-escalation or regime change, with market resolution tied to credible reporting as Hormuz tensions persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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