Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$90,770,538 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 32%

Christopher Waller 11.5%

Rick Rieder 5.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,770,538
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$90,770,538 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 32%

Christopher Waller 11.5%

Rick Rieder 5.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$6,063,813 Vol.

43%

Kevin Warsh

$2,611,284 Vol.

32%

Christopher Waller

$2,577,113 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,766,999 Vol.

5%

Judy Shelton

$2,186,202 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$2,274,901 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,120,820 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,598,707 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$2,187,060 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,816,838 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,416,703 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,270,351 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$876,943 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,559,826 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$877,063 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$785,001 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,989,493 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,461,899 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,067,082 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,438,665 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,579,127 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$18,868,298 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$913,494 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$312,096 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,146,212 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$90,770,538
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.