Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Rick Rieder 47.3%

Kevin Warsh 31%

Christopher Waller 9.5%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$246,525,859 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder
$7,491,229 Vol.
47%

Kevin Warsh
$9,035,926 Vol.
31%

Christopher Waller
$6,564,454 Vol.
10%

Kevin Hassett
$14,095,210 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,402,949 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$7,883,852 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$6,063,907 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,897,237 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,574,673 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,666,776 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$11,920,540 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,349,855 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,183,454 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,862,002 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,020,326 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,306,097 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,214,062 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,340,325 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,629,588 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,122,778 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,834,522 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,891,012 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,836,581 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,416,750 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,922,754 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$246,525,859

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 47.3%

Kevin Warsh 31%

Christopher Waller 9.5%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$246,525,859 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder

$7,491,229 Vol.

47%

Kevin Warsh

$9,035,926 Vol.

31%

Christopher Waller

$6,564,454 Vol.

10%

Kevin Hassett

$14,095,210 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$8,402,949 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$7,883,852 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$6,063,907 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,897,237 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,574,673 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,666,776 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$11,920,540 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,349,855 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,183,454 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,862,002 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,020,326 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,306,097 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,214,062 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,340,325 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,629,588 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,122,778 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,834,522 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,891,012 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,836,581 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,416,750 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,922,754 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$246,525,859

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

56%

Will 50 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

28%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder
$7,491,229 Vol.
47%

Kevin Warsh
$9,035,926 Vol.
31%

Christopher Waller
$6,564,454 Vol.
10%

Kevin Hassett
$14,095,210 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,402,949 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$7,883,852 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$6,063,907 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,897,237 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,574,673 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,666,776 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$11,920,540 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,349,855 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,183,454 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,862,002 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,020,326 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,306,097 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,214,062 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,340,325 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,629,588 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,122,778 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,834,522 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,891,012 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,836,581 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,416,750 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,922,754 Vol.
<1%

Market Context