Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Name: Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Start: 2025-04-18T18:06:52.982859Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

$10,681,666 Vol.

No announcement by December 31 96.4%

Kevin Hassett 2.3%

Michelle Bowman <1%

Chris Waller <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

No announcement by December 31
$3,008,347 Vol.
96%
0123456789
%

Kevin Hassett
$793,918 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Michelle Bowman
$526,360 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Chris Waller
$631,743 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Kevin Warsh
$643,926 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Judy Shelton
$2,001,183 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rick Rieder
$157,591 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$102,740 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$148,441 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$108,972 Vol.
<1%

Chamath Palihapitiya
$71,473 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$336,803 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$570,980 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$957,870 Vol.
<1%

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.
$621,320 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Apr 18, 2025, 6:06 PM UTC

Volume

$10,681,666

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 18, 2025, 6:06 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$10,681,666 Vol.

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31 96.4%

Kevin Hassett 2.3%

Michelle Bowman <1%

Chris Waller <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

No announcement by December 31

$3,008,347 Vol.

96%

Kevin Hassett

$793,918 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$526,360 Vol.

Chris Waller

$631,743 Vol.

Kevin Warsh

$643,926 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$2,001,183 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$157,591 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$102,740 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$148,441 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$108,972 Vol.

<1%

Chamath Palihapitiya

$71,473 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$336,803 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$570,980 Vol.

<1%

Elon Musk

$957,870 Vol.

<1%

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.

$621,320 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$10,681,666

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 18, 2025, 6:06 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

62%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

98%

Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?

100%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31
$3,008,347 Vol.
96%
0123456789
%

Kevin Hassett
$793,918 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Michelle Bowman
$526,360 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Chris Waller
$631,743 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Kevin Warsh
$643,926 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Judy Shelton
$2,001,183 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rick Rieder
$157,591 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$102,740 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$148,441 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$108,972 Vol.
<1%

Chamath Palihapitiya
$71,473 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$336,803 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$570,980 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$957,870 Vol.
<1%

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.
$621,320 Vol.
<1%

Market Context