Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Name: Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Start: 2025-04-18T18:06:52.982859Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

$10,508,467 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

No announcement by December 31 96.6%

Kevin Hassett 2.4%

Michelle Bowman <1%

Kevin Warsh <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

No announcement by December 31
$2,962,668 Vol.
97%
0123456789
%

Kevin Hassett
$775,299 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Michelle Bowman
$495,245 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Kevin Warsh
$622,269 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Chris Waller
$608,679 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$570,759 Vol.
<1%

Rick Rieder
$142,520 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Arthur Laffer
$100,740 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$147,441 Vol.
<1%

Judy Shelton
$1,996,623 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ron Paul
$108,972 Vol.
<1%

Chamath Palihapitiya
$71,473 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$334,803 Vol.
<1%

Elon Musk
$952,870 Vol.
<1%

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.
$621,320 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Apr 18, 2025, 6:06 PM UTC

Volume

$10,508,467

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 18, 2025, 6:06 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$10,508,467 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31 96.6%

Kevin Hassett 2.4%

Michelle Bowman <1%

Kevin Warsh <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

No announcement by December 31

$2,962,668 Vol.

97%

Kevin Hassett

$775,299 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$495,245 Vol.

Kevin Warsh

$622,269 Vol.

<1%

Chris Waller

$608,679 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$570,759 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$142,520 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$100,740 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$147,441 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,996,623 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$108,972 Vol.

<1%

Chamath Palihapitiya

$71,473 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$334,803 Vol.

<1%

Elon Musk

$952,870 Vol.

<1%

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.

$621,320 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$10,508,467

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Apr 18, 2025, 6:06 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

62%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

98%

Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?

100%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31
$2,962,668 Vol.
97%
0123456789
%

Kevin Hassett
$775,299 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Michelle Bowman
$495,245 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Kevin Warsh
$622,269 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Chris Waller
$608,679 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$570,759 Vol.
<1%

Rick Rieder
$142,520 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Arthur Laffer
$100,740 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$147,441 Vol.
<1%

Judy Shelton
$1,996,623 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ron Paul
$108,972 Vol.
<1%

Chamath Palihapitiya
$71,473 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$334,803 Vol.
<1%

Elon Musk
$952,870 Vol.
<1%

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.
$621,320 Vol.
<1%

Market Context