Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

Name: Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?
Start: 2025-11-26T15:13:10.41308Z
End: 2026-01-18T00:00:00Z

$1,216,340 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)
$263,642 Vol.
76%

António José Seguro (IND)
$121,926 Vol.
71%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$327,552 Vol.
30%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$322,866 Vol.
14%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$95,800 Vol.
4%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$163 Vol.
1%

André Pestana (IND)
$2,424 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$436 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,428 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$423 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$10,104 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$1,921 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$833 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins
$8,178 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$30,309 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$1,070 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$593 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$2,396 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$608 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$366 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$472 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$22,830 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 3:04 PM UTC

Volume

$1,216,340

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 3:04 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$1,216,340 Vol.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)

$263,642 Vol.

76%

António José Seguro (IND)

$121,926 Vol.

71%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$327,552 Vol.

30%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$322,866 Vol.

14%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$95,800 Vol.

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$163 Vol.

André Pestana (IND)

$2,424 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$436 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,428 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$423 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$10,104 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$1,921 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$833 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins

$8,178 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$30,309 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$1,070 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$593 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$2,396 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$608 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$366 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$472 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$22,830 Vol.

<1%

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