Market icon

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

Market icon

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$2,232,770 Vol.

Jan 18, 2026
Polymarket

$2,232,770 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$692,386 Vol.

No

Market icon

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$33,505 Vol.

No

Market icon

André Ventura (CH)

$519,006 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$1,931 Vol.

No

Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$450,366 Vol.

No

Market icon

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$142,978 Vol.

No

Market icon

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$2,203 Vol.

No

Market icon

António Filipe (PCP)

$3,984 Vol.

No

Market icon

José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,305 Vol.

No

Market icon

Jorge Pinto

$4,909 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,610 Vol.

No

Market icon

André Pestana (IND)

$4,687 Vol.

No

Market icon

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$2,114 Vol.

No

Market icon

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,235 Vol.

No

Market icon

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$1,063 Vol.

No

Market icon

António José Seguro (IND)

$303,956 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,518 Vol.

No

Market icon

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$3,210 Vol.

No

Market icon

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$535 Vol.

No

Market icon

Catarina Martins

$11,020 Vol.

No

Market icon

Humberto Correia

$15,692 Vol.

No

Market icon

Manuel João Vieira

$30,557 Vol.

No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$2,232,770
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election. If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "André Ventura (CH)" at 100%, followed by "António José Seguro (IND)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?" is "André Ventura (CH)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "António José Seguro (IND)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.