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Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?

Market icon

Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?

Eric Adams 100.0%

Curtis Sliwa <1%

Andrew Cuomo <1%

No one <1%

Polymarket

$253,258 Vol.

Eric Adams 100.0%

Curtis Sliwa <1%

Andrew Cuomo <1%

No one <1%

Polymarket

$253,258 Vol.

Curtis Sliwa

$59,098 Vol.

No

Andrew Cuomo

$53,763 Vol.

No

Eric Adams

$91,759 Vol.

Yes

No one

$48,638 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$253,258
End Date
Nov 3, 2025
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2025, 10:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$253,258
End Date
Nov 3, 2025
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2025, 10:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Adams" at 100%, followed by "Curtis Sliwa" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?" has generated $253.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?" is "Eric Adams" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Curtis Sliwa" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.