Market icon

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Market icon

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

$7,084,613 Vol.

Jan 20, 2025
Polymarket

$7,084,613 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Eric Adams

$28,476 Vol.

Yes

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Joe Rogan

$274,505 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Giorgia Meloni

$22,630 Vol.

Yes

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Viktor Orban

$35,885 Vol.

No

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Shou Chew (TikTok CEO)

$23,225 Vol.

Yes

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Nayib Bukele

$12,964 Vol.

No

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Brad Garlinghouse

$21,909 Vol.

Yes

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Rudy Giuliani

$77,551 Vol.

Yes

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Sam Altman

$17,834 Vol.

Yes

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Caitlyn Jenner

$495,366 Vol.

No

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$102,658 Vol.

No

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$363,574 Vol.

No

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Mark Zuckerberg

$229,224 Vol.

Yes

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Joe Biden

$780,832 Vol.

Yes

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Barack Obama

$219,704 Vol.

Yes

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Michelle Obama

$291,428 Vol.

No

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Kamala Harris

$233,328 Vol.

Yes

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Bill Clinton

$105,425 Vol.

Yes

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Hillary Clinton

$144,482 Vol.

Yes

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George W. Bush

$71,336 Vol.

Yes

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Nancy Pelosi

$152,286 Vol.

No

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Jimmy Carter

$423,045 Vol.

No

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Vladimir Putin

$802,150 Vol.

No

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Volodymyr Zelensky

$479,826 Vol.

No

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Xi Jinping

$1,460,457 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$97,602 Vol.

Yes

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Javier Milei

$70,834 Vol.

Yes

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Stephen Baldwin

$2,362 Vol.

No

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Chris Christie

$8,150 Vol.

No

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Jair Bolsonaro

$29,359 Vol.

No

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Tom Brady

$6,205 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,084,613
End Date
Jan 20, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 6, 2024, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend Trump inauguration?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Adams" at 100%, followed by "Joe Rogan" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend Trump inauguration?" has generated $7.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend Trump inauguration?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend Trump inauguration?" is "Eric Adams" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Rogan" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend Trump inauguration?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.