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Inauguration predictions & odds

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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

73%

June 30

$15M Vol.

$929K today

$404K Liq.

394

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

96%

June 30

$31M Vol.

$671K today

$286K Liq.

657

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M Vol.

$230K today

$488K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

71%

May 13

$1M Vol.

$190K today

$408K Liq.

75

Ends in 23 days

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

15%

$355K Vol.

$175K today

$28.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

97%

Xi Jinping

$365K Vol.

$165K today

$294K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

<1%

Sea / Water

$105K Vol.

$99.0K today

$29.5K Liq.

26

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

May 8

$256K Vol.

$92.1K today

$124K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

34%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$310K Vol.

$66.1K today

$159K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$938K Vol.

$62.3K today

$495K Liq.

1

Ends in 23 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

73%

140-159

$184K Vol.

$55.9K today

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

2%

$522K Vol.

$56.6K Liq.

39

Ends in 23 days

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

93%

December 31

$481K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

62

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

92%

No meeting by June 30

$5M Vol.

$255K Liq.

24

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

28

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

$8M Vol.

$827K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

98%

Xi Jinping

$137K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

99%

Xi Jinping

$399K Vol.

$252K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

74%

Iran

$15.9K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Inauguration.

Polymarket currently hosts 224 active markets for Inauguration that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $70.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump visit China by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump visit China by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Inauguration predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.