$100,637 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025
China
No
Canada
No
South Korea
No
Germany
No
Brazil
No
Israel
No
India
No
Mexico
No
Australia
No
France
No
Argentina
No
Switzerland
No
$100,637 Vol.
China
$29,722 Vol.
No
Canada
$5,693 Vol.
No
South Korea
$7,099 Vol.
No
Germany
$2,061 Vol.
No
Brazil
$8,549 Vol.
No
Israel
$3,488 Vol.
No
India
$19,087 Vol.
No
Mexico
$2,719 Vol.
No
Australia
$1,302 Vol.
No
France
$1,704 Vol.
No
Argentina
$14,065 Vol.
No
Switzerland
$5,147 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between September 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between September 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2025, 8:41 PM ET
Volume
$100,637End Date
Sep 30, 2025Market Opened
Aug 26, 2025, 8:41 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




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