Market icon

Which company has second best AI model end of November?

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$2,618,912 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$2,618,912
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 1:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has second best AI model end of November?

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$2,618,912 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$416,021 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

OpenAI

$140,823 Vol.

No

Market icon

Z.ai

$874,118 Vol.

No

Market icon

DeepSeek

$147,070 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mistral

$166,513 Vol.

No

Market icon

Anthropic

$194,787 Vol.

No

Market icon

Alibaba

$401,580 Vol.

No

Market icon

xAI

$177,593 Vol.

No

Market icon

Moonshot

$100,407 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$2,618,912
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 1:22 PM ET

Beware of external links.