President Trump's dominant focus on the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Iran—highlighted in his March 27 remarks to farmers on war impacts to agriculture, Strait of Hormuz security, and the SAVE Act, plus Future Investment Initiative speech declaring Iran "decimated" and seeking a deal—positions conflict-related phrases as frontrunners in trader sentiment for March 29-April 5. March 28 statements claiming Iran wants negotiations and criticizing NATO's lack of support reinforce this pattern amid de-escalation signals. Absent a public schedule beyond Mar-a-Lago executive time and private meetings, resolution hinges on Truth Social posts or press gaggles, with historical precedent of daily foreign policy commentary shaping the closely contested odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$466,629 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
15%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
7%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
13%
Khamenei
12%
Chuck Norris
3%
$466,629 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,872 Vol.
15%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,979 Vol.
3%
Eat our Lunch
$1,292 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$10,061 Vol.
7%
Embargo
$8,350 Vol.
14%
Finish the Job
$3,289 Vol.
13%
Khamenei
$51,880 Vol.
12%
Chuck Norris
$6,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's dominant focus on the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Iran—highlighted in his March 27 remarks to farmers on war impacts to agriculture, Strait of Hormuz security, and the SAVE Act, plus Future Investment Initiative speech declaring Iran "decimated" and seeking a deal—positions conflict-related phrases as frontrunners in trader sentiment for March 29-April 5. March 28 statements claiming Iran wants negotiations and criticizing NATO's lack of support reinforce this pattern amid de-escalation signals. Absent a public schedule beyond Mar-a-Lago executive time and private meetings, resolution hinges on Truth Social posts or press gaggles, with historical precedent of daily foreign policy commentary shaping the closely contested odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$466,629End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's dominant focus on the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Iran—highlighted in his March 27 remarks to farmers on war impacts to agriculture, Strait of Hormuz security, and the SAVE Act, plus Future Investment Initiative speech declaring Iran "decimated" and seeking a deal—positions conflict-related phrases as frontrunners in trader sentiment for March 29-April 5. March 28 statements claiming Iran wants negotiations and criticizing NATO's lack of support reinforce this pattern amid de-escalation signals. Absent a public schedule beyond Mar-a-Lago executive time and private meetings, resolution hinges on Truth Social posts or press gaggles, with historical precedent of daily foreign policy commentary shaping the closely contested odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$466,629End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump's dominant focus on the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Iran—highlighted in his March 27 remarks to farmers on war impacts to agriculture, Strait of Hormuz security, and the SAVE Act, plus Future Investment Initiative speech declaring Iran "decimated" and seeking a deal—positions conflict-related phrases as frontrunners in trader sentiment for March 29-April 5. March 28 statements claiming Iran wants negotiations and criticizing NATO's lack of support reinforce this pattern amid de-escalation signals. Absent a public schedule beyond Mar-a-Lago executive time and private meetings, resolution hinges on Truth Social posts or press gaggles, with historical precedent of daily foreign policy commentary shaping the closely contested odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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