President Trump's recent warnings on Truth Social about Iran potentially disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the FII PRIORITY Summit in Miami highlighting Operation Epic Fury against Iranian capabilities, have shaped trader consensus toward Iran-related phrases amid an extended pause on U.S. strikes on energy infrastructure until early April. His March 26 cabinet meeting and remarks to farmers on National Agriculture Day touched on domestic policy and trade, but escalating diplomatic-military tensions with Tehran dominate sentiment. No confirmed public events are scheduled for March 29-April 5, though press interactions during Mar-a-Lago travel or executive time could prompt statements on foreign policy flashpoints like sanctions, embargoes, or leadership figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$463,251 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
9%
Embargo
15%
Finish the Job
16%
Khamenei
15%
Chuck Norris
5%
$463,251 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,833 Vol.
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,974 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,189 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$9,991 Vol.
9%
Embargo
$8,343 Vol.
15%
Finish the Job
$3,242 Vol.
16%
Khamenei
$50,996 Vol.
15%
Chuck Norris
$4,140 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent warnings on Truth Social about Iran potentially disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the FII PRIORITY Summit in Miami highlighting Operation Epic Fury against Iranian capabilities, have shaped trader consensus toward Iran-related phrases amid an extended pause on U.S. strikes on energy infrastructure until early April. His March 26 cabinet meeting and remarks to farmers on National Agriculture Day touched on domestic policy and trade, but escalating diplomatic-military tensions with Tehran dominate sentiment. No confirmed public events are scheduled for March 29-April 5, though press interactions during Mar-a-Lago travel or executive time could prompt statements on foreign policy flashpoints like sanctions, embargoes, or leadership figures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$463,251End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent warnings on Truth Social about Iran potentially disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the FII PRIORITY Summit in Miami highlighting Operation Epic Fury against Iranian capabilities, have shaped trader consensus toward Iran-related phrases amid an extended pause on U.S. strikes on energy infrastructure until early April. His March 26 cabinet meeting and remarks to farmers on National Agriculture Day touched on domestic policy and trade, but escalating diplomatic-military tensions with Tehran dominate sentiment. No confirmed public events are scheduled for March 29-April 5, though press interactions during Mar-a-Lago travel or executive time could prompt statements on foreign policy flashpoints like sanctions, embargoes, or leadership figures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$463,251End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump's recent warnings on Truth Social about Iran potentially disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the FII PRIORITY Summit in Miami highlighting Operation Epic Fury against Iranian capabilities, have shaped trader consensus toward Iran-related phrases amid an extended pause on U.S. strikes on energy infrastructure until early April. His March 26 cabinet meeting and remarks to farmers on National Agriculture Day touched on domestic policy and trade, but escalating diplomatic-military tensions with Tehran dominate sentiment. No confirmed public events are scheduled for March 29-April 5, though press interactions during Mar-a-Lago travel or executive time could prompt statements on foreign policy flashpoints like sanctions, embargoes, or leadership figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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