President Trump's recent Truth Social posts and public statements on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation if the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted and claims that Iran seeks a deal, dominate trader consensus for his rhetoric this week through March 29. These follow his March 26 cabinet meeting amid postponed U.S. strikes on Iranian power infrastructure until April 6, signaling ongoing diplomatic maneuvering and potential military posturing. Traders anticipate continued focus on foreign policy flashpoints, given Trump's daily posting pattern on Truth Social and X, with his 80th birthday celebrations potentially amplifying unscripted remarks at White House events like the UFC bouts. No confirmed public speeches are scheduled before the market window closes, heightening reliance on social media for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$468,002 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
24%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
8%
Ethanol
13%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
11%
Khamenei
19%
Chuck Norris
3%
$468,002 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,064 Vol.
24%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,025 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,342 Vol.
8%
Ethanol
$10,488 Vol.
13%
Embargo
$8,377 Vol.
14%
Finish the Job
$3,319 Vol.
11%
Khamenei
$52,143 Vol.
19%
Chuck Norris
$6,760 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts and public statements on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation if the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted and claims that Iran seeks a deal, dominate trader consensus for his rhetoric this week through March 29. These follow his March 26 cabinet meeting amid postponed U.S. strikes on Iranian power infrastructure until April 6, signaling ongoing diplomatic maneuvering and potential military posturing. Traders anticipate continued focus on foreign policy flashpoints, given Trump's daily posting pattern on Truth Social and X, with his 80th birthday celebrations potentially amplifying unscripted remarks at White House events like the UFC bouts. No confirmed public speeches are scheduled before the market window closes, heightening reliance on social media for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$468,002End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts and public statements on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation if the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted and claims that Iran seeks a deal, dominate trader consensus for his rhetoric this week through March 29. These follow his March 26 cabinet meeting amid postponed U.S. strikes on Iranian power infrastructure until April 6, signaling ongoing diplomatic maneuvering and potential military posturing. Traders anticipate continued focus on foreign policy flashpoints, given Trump's daily posting pattern on Truth Social and X, with his 80th birthday celebrations potentially amplifying unscripted remarks at White House events like the UFC bouts. No confirmed public speeches are scheduled before the market window closes, heightening reliance on social media for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$468,002End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social posts and public statements on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation if the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted and claims that Iran seeks a deal, dominate trader consensus for his rhetoric this week through March 29. These follow his March 26 cabinet meeting amid postponed U.S. strikes on Iranian power infrastructure until April 6, signaling ongoing diplomatic maneuvering and potential military posturing. Traders anticipate continued focus on foreign policy flashpoints, given Trump's daily posting pattern on Truth Social and X, with his 80th birthday celebrations potentially amplifying unscripted remarks at White House events like the UFC bouts. No confirmed public speeches are scheduled before the market window closes, heightening reliance on social media for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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