President Trump heads into the week of March 29 from his Mar-a-Lago retreat, following intense recent focus on the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, which he hailed as "bold" and transformative for the Middle East during March 27 remarks at the Saudi-hosted Future Investment Initiative in Miami. He threatened Cuba as the next US military target, criticized NATO for failing amid the conflict, and addressed Strait of Hormuz security, energy sectors, farmers, and cabinet priorities like economic growth. With no major public events scheduled amid the Iran hostilities—now in its fifth week—traders monitor Truth Social posts, potential press gaggles, and executive time for recurring motifs on foreign policy, alliances, adversaries, and domestic issues that define his rhetorical patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$462,790 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
10%
Embargo
16%
Finish the Job
17%
Khamenei
19%
Chuck Norris
6%
$462,790 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,822 Vol.
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,922 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,189 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$9,914 Vol.
10%
Embargo
$8,332 Vol.
16%
Finish the Job
$3,242 Vol.
17%
Khamenei
$50,717 Vol.
19%
Chuck Norris
$4,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump heads into the week of March 29 from his Mar-a-Lago retreat, following intense recent focus on the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, which he hailed as "bold" and transformative for the Middle East during March 27 remarks at the Saudi-hosted Future Investment Initiative in Miami. He threatened Cuba as the next US military target, criticized NATO for failing amid the conflict, and addressed Strait of Hormuz security, energy sectors, farmers, and cabinet priorities like economic growth. With no major public events scheduled amid the Iran hostilities—now in its fifth week—traders monitor Truth Social posts, potential press gaggles, and executive time for recurring motifs on foreign policy, alliances, adversaries, and domestic issues that define his rhetorical patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$462,790End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump heads into the week of March 29 from his Mar-a-Lago retreat, following intense recent focus on the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, which he hailed as "bold" and transformative for the Middle East during March 27 remarks at the Saudi-hosted Future Investment Initiative in Miami. He threatened Cuba as the next US military target, criticized NATO for failing amid the conflict, and addressed Strait of Hormuz security, energy sectors, farmers, and cabinet priorities like economic growth. With no major public events scheduled amid the Iran hostilities—now in its fifth week—traders monitor Truth Social posts, potential press gaggles, and executive time for recurring motifs on foreign policy, alliances, adversaries, and domestic issues that define his rhetorical patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$462,790End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump heads into the week of March 29 from his Mar-a-Lago retreat, following intense recent focus on the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, which he hailed as "bold" and transformative for the Middle East during March 27 remarks at the Saudi-hosted Future Investment Initiative in Miami. He threatened Cuba as the next US military target, criticized NATO for failing amid the conflict, and addressed Strait of Hormuz security, energy sectors, farmers, and cabinet priorities like economic growth. With no major public events scheduled amid the Iran hostilities—now in its fifth week—traders monitor Truth Social posts, potential press gaggles, and executive time for recurring motifs on foreign policy, alliances, adversaries, and domestic issues that define his rhetorical patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions