President Trump's recent rhetoric has centered on escalating tensions with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, including Truth Social posts warning of severe U.S. retaliation if oil flows are disrupted and noting productive bilateral conversations alongside allied warship deployments. On March 27, he addressed farmers amid the Iran conflict, pledging support, and spoke at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he threatened military action against Cuba as the next target. A March 26 cabinet meeting revisited his past termination of the Iran deal. Traders monitor his frequent Truth Social activity and weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago through March 29 for mentions of foreign adversaries, tariffs, or cultural issues, with White House press rotations ongoing into the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$466,440 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
15%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
7%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
13%
Khamenei
4%
Chuck Norris
3%
$466,440 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,872 Vol.
15%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,979 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,292 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$10,058 Vol.
7%
Embargo
$8,350 Vol.
14%
Finish the Job
$3,289 Vol.
13%
Khamenei
$51,747 Vol.
4%
Chuck Norris
$6,311 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent rhetoric has centered on escalating tensions with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, including Truth Social posts warning of severe U.S. retaliation if oil flows are disrupted and noting productive bilateral conversations alongside allied warship deployments. On March 27, he addressed farmers amid the Iran conflict, pledging support, and spoke at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he threatened military action against Cuba as the next target. A March 26 cabinet meeting revisited his past termination of the Iran deal. Traders monitor his frequent Truth Social activity and weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago through March 29 for mentions of foreign adversaries, tariffs, or cultural issues, with White House press rotations ongoing into the week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$466,440End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent rhetoric has centered on escalating tensions with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, including Truth Social posts warning of severe U.S. retaliation if oil flows are disrupted and noting productive bilateral conversations alongside allied warship deployments. On March 27, he addressed farmers amid the Iran conflict, pledging support, and spoke at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he threatened military action against Cuba as the next target. A March 26 cabinet meeting revisited his past termination of the Iran deal. Traders monitor his frequent Truth Social activity and weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago through March 29 for mentions of foreign adversaries, tariffs, or cultural issues, with White House press rotations ongoing into the week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$466,440End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent rhetoric has centered on escalating tensions with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, including Truth Social posts warning of severe U.S. retaliation if oil flows are disrupted and noting productive bilateral conversations alongside allied warship deployments. On March 27, he addressed farmers amid the Iran conflict, pledging support, and spoke at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he threatened military action against Cuba as the next target. A March 26 cabinet meeting revisited his past termination of the Iran deal. Traders monitor his frequent Truth Social activity and weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago through March 29 for mentions of foreign adversaries, tariffs, or cultural issues, with White House press rotations ongoing into the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions