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What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?

Market icon

What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?

$1,100,173 Vol.

Nov 1, 2024
Polymarket

$1,100,173 Vol.

Polymarket

Cognitively Impaired

$13,702 Vol.

Yes

Teamster

$29,604 Vol.

No

Border 20+ times

$34,495 Vol.

No

Border 30+ times

$41,137 Vol.

No

Wisconsin 20+ times

$20,351 Vol.

No

Tax 20+ times

$15,782 Vol.

No

China 10+ times

$17,681 Vol.

No

Hell 10+ times

$56,255 Vol.

Yes

Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times

$20,999 Vol.

No

Gun 5+ times

$38,793 Vol.

Yes

God 4+ times

$386,043 Vol.

No

Teleprompter 3+ times

$12,897 Vol.

No

Pocahontas

$32,953 Vol.

Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin

$155,162 Vol.

No

Missile Defense Shield

$17,791 Vol.

Yes

McDonald's

$35,628 Vol.

Yes

Tampon

$20,241 Vol.

No

Women's Sports

$21,110 Vol.

Yes

Weave

$84,335 Vol.

Yes

Tammy Baldwin

$5,373 Vol.

No

Elon

$32,384 Vol.

No

Unrealized

$7,457 Vol.

No

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cognitively impaired" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 1, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Volume
$1,100,173
End Date
Nov 1, 2024
Market Opened
Oct 28, 2024, 8:09 PM ET
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cognitively impaired" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 1, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cognitively Impaired" at 100%, followed by "Hell 10+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 29, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?" is "Cognitively Impaired" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hell 10+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Milwaukee, WI rally?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.