Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at a 100% implied probability for Miami's median home value falling in the $1.22-1.24 million range per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, the official resolution source, following its latest data release as of April 1, 2026. This strong positioning reflects real capital alignment with the confirmed index reading amid Miami's housing market resilience, where Redfin-reported median sale prices surged 11.3% year-over-year to $724,000 in February, driven by robust single-family demand and a 5% median price gain per Miami Realtors' February figures. Broader Florida declines contrast with local strength from buyer influx and limited inventory. Realistic challenges—such as oracle disputes or rare data revisions—remain improbable given the skin-in-the-game pricing and imminent resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will the median home value in Miami be on April 1?
What will the median home value in Miami be on April 1?
1.22 - 1.24m 100.0%
<1.1m <1%
1.1 - 1.12m <1%
1.12 - 1.14m <1%
$19,840 Vol.
$19,840 Vol.
<1.1m
No
1.1 - 1.12m
No
1.12 - 1.14m
No
1.14 - 1.16m
No
1.16 - 1.18m
No
1.18 - 1.2m
No
1.2 - 1.22m
No
1.22 - 1.24m
Yes
>1.24m
No
1.22 - 1.24m 100.0%
<1.1m <1%
1.1 - 1.12m <1%
1.12 - 1.14m <1%
$19,840 Vol.
$19,840 Vol.
<1.1m
No
1.1 - 1.12m
No
1.12 - 1.14m
No
1.14 - 1.16m
No
1.16 - 1.18m
No
1.18 - 1.2m
No
1.2 - 1.22m
No
1.22 - 1.24m
Yes
>1.24m
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at a 100% implied probability for Miami's median home value falling in the $1.22-1.24 million range per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, the official resolution source, following its latest data release as of April 1, 2026. This strong positioning reflects real capital alignment with the confirmed index reading amid Miami's housing market resilience, where Redfin-reported median sale prices surged 11.3% year-over-year to $724,000 in February, driven by robust single-family demand and a 5% median price gain per Miami Realtors' February figures. Broader Florida declines contrast with local strength from buyer influx and limited inventory. Realistic challenges—such as oracle disputes or rare data revisions—remain improbable given the skin-in-the-game pricing and imminent resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions