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Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

$6,152,241 Vol.

Jul 28, 2024

Edmundo González 99.8%

Nicolas Maduro <1%

Antonio Ecarri <1%

Javier Bertucci <1%

0%20%40%60%80%100%

Source: Polymarket.com

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

The 2024 Venezuela presidential election is scheduled to take place on July 28, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Volume

$6,152,241

End Date

Jul 28, 2024

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

Comments (3245)
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

hadesboy

hadesboy

9d ago

ragulya ebanaya

Okokol

3mo ago

And for those who suffered from this resolver’s mistake, was everything compensated?

Gena🐊

Gena🐊

3mo ago

I'll feel compensated when UMA and Polymarket management gets lock down in jail

Chimp1

3mo ago

It feels so good to have Edmundo Gonzalez as the Venezuelan president.

ALDALEX

3mo ago

Narniazuela

Rane2022

Rane2022

4mo ago

ahahaha

fuck off

I still am SUPER happy with this outcome :P. Edmundo will proclamate in January 10th

M.Axe

M.Axe

7mo ago

¿¡Censored!?

This is SUCH A FUCKING SCAM. HOW CAN THIS BE RESOLVED TO "NO"???

I just stumbled upon this market I understand the shitstorm lul. I agree there is no acceptable proof that Maduro won but the rules said the primary source would be official Venezuelian information so indeed it's a scam

AG1234

7mo ago

Polymarket is a scam, and there are numerous examples of false outcomes recently...particularly in RFKs case, where PM manipulated the market. PM should be locking these contentious markets before resolving when the outcome is unsure, but they know delaying a confirmation would flip markets AGAINST their whales because it would trend toward the truth. Maduro is the president, and has been certified as such.

Chimp1

3mo ago

What are you reffering to with RFK? i'd like to make a list of them. There's this market, Everton vs liverpool where they said it would be 50/50 when the contract doesn't allow it, and then the blitz chess market no rules regarding a split title.

https://venezuelanalysis.com/news/venezuela-supreme-court-delivers-electoral-review-verdict-confirms-maduro-victory/

bigdicker

bigdicker

7mo ago

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/08/22/venezuela-s-supreme-court-certifies-maduro-s-claims-he-won-presidential-election_6720360_4.html Venezuela's Supreme Court certifies Maduro's claims he won presidential election

Chimp1

7mo ago

Official venezuelan supreme court just ruled that the CNE was correct and Maduro won... lol

https://rekt.news/hedging-bets/

ohhai

8mo ago

Wow, it's incredible that there are still people crying about this. Edmundo won, the Maduro fraud was proven to the whole world. The fact that he's still in power is further proof that he's a dictator.

Chimp1

7mo ago

"Edmundo won" yet the offical venezuelan supreme court just ruled that the CNE was correct and Maduro won lmaooo

"Edmundo won" YET HE IS FLYING THE COUNTRY YOU STUPID FAG

This is a scam. Did not respect their own rules. This is not a political debate, otherwise go to reddit or x....Now time to migrate to another betting system

a shame that solcasino do not have this kind of topic yet...eth is manipulated by the tentacles

gurke

8mo ago

he won when u follow your own rules - so u guys scam us?

Even tho I do think that this wasn't a democratic election, this is literally not true. Can someone like sue this place???

Factual

8mo ago

This is wrong. Maduro isnt close to being overthrown so the official stance of the government isn't changing. He won by the rules defined by this market.

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/venezuelas-top-court-says-opposition-failed-submit-proof-election-dispute-2024-08-10/ You UMA whales rushed to close the dispote instead of proposing P4 because you all knew you were going to lose. Why didnt you vote for P4 if the whole process was still ongoing? The rules clearly said "If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."" you didnt want to resolve to Maduro? fair enough, there was plenty of time to settle.

Because the TSJ is as fraudulent as any other arm from Maduro government, Edmundo published enough proof of his victory and even the Carter Center(previously praised by the regime) declared there were inconstancies in the CNE results aka fraud.

bigdicker

bigdicker

7mo ago

@0x4A2e546A44...

https://apnews.com/article/venezuela-election-supreme-court-certifies-maduro-39d9f3b9beb0fe96fa052e4d2a3c106b Venezuela’s Supreme Court certifies Maduro’s claims that he won presidential election

that is fraud

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela and good or bad, the only official in venezuela is maduro government and thats the guy who we will see in United Nation and other places.

this is a reall fraud , it clearly expressed in market rules:

https://news.bitcoin.com/polymarkets-integrity-questioned-over-venezuelan-presidential-election-bet-outcome/

nop.nop

8mo ago

Polymarket is the small fish here, the big fish is UMA. When you report them to https://www.whistleblower.gov/ and talk to your lawyers make sure to include UMA details. US lawmakers would love to hear about this before their election. Details: UMA Protocol hello@umaproject.org 259 Bower New York, New York, 10022, United States

nop.nop

8mo ago

A las personas que hayan estafado en este mercado, vayan al sitio https://www.whistleblower.gov/ y reporten (opcion 'submit tip'). Cuantos mas seamos mejor.

nop.nop

8mo ago

People that got scammed here, go to site https://www.whistleblower.gov/ and file a report (submit tip option) the most people the better.

""Polymarket's purpose is to give the people of Venezuela accurate information about who will be in power, even if it upsets them or was achieved illegitimately," they underscored. With this motto, Polymarket intends to portray a more accurate reality and rewards people for "uncover truths about the world," as they pointed out." So I guess that was a lie, https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/07/31/election-uncertainty-in-venezuela-turns-polymarket-into-an-oracle/

It seems more probable that the person who said that, believed it, and had no idea how this market would end up resolving.

What a piece of shit polymarket is, they said they would rely on the official statement of Venezuela and did the opposite

El resultado es correcto.

yaya5463

8mo ago

Read the details: The bet was about the "offical result", not about the "true result"

Acaban de robar a un gentío. POLYMARKET es una estafa

Chavista tramposo

Platinum

Platinum

8mo ago

just came back to this and holy fucking shit, maduro is toppled????

SPYontheQs

8mo ago

How did they resolve this? Did people get their money back

No. We are going for a class action lawsuit

Chimp1

8mo ago

Has there ever been a contract actively trading at 40% that was resolved as yes?

JeffreyBezos

yes this one

Chimp1

8mo ago

@JeffreyBezos

Did I need to say besides this one?

Justifax

Justifax

8mo ago

Polymarket uses USDC. The US govt controls USDC. I can assure you, the us govt regulates polymarket.

Yessss!! Loved the result. Maduro commited fraud.

Chimp1

8mo ago

Even Maduro yes people know he committed fraud. That's why the market was 80% maduro until scammers came in.

CathayCoof

8mo ago

There is some level of fraud in every election. That doesn't mean Gonzalez won. Maduro is President. By any conceivable normal definition of the word, he won.

Polymarket users, we need to talk about the Venezuelan election market resolution. I've detailed crucial concerns here: https://x.com/FrederickRecio/status/1821249046289482093 This isn't just about one market - it's about the integrity of all future political predictions on this platform. RT, share, and let's demand answers from @Polymarket and @UMAprotocol. Our trust is at stake.

mate check your discord DM

bullshit. https://www.cartercenter.org/news/pr/2024/venezuela-073024.html

A los que los hayan estafado en este mercado, retweeetean, necesitamos que se haga viral la estafa. https://x.com/LWarho/status/1820888617469771813

Fierillo

8mo ago

segui llorando

Outcome: No

Nicolas Maduro