Market icon

US government shutdown in 2025?

>99% chance

$3,512,315 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Volume
$3,512,315
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 9, 2025, 5:51 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

US government shutdown in 2025?

>99% chance

$3,512,315 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Volume
$3,512,315
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 9, 2025, 5:51 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.