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U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?

Market icon

U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$22,140 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$22,140 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government, including the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration, or the White House, announces the resumption of any direct commercial passenger flights from the United States to Russia by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying policy officially announced within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government, including the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration, or the White House, announces the resumption of any direct commercial passenger flights from the United States to Russia by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any qualifying policy officially announced within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,140
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government, including the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration, or the White House, announces the resumption of any direct commercial passenger flights from the United States to Russia by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying policy officially announced within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government, including the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration, or the White House, announces the resumption of any direct commercial passenger flights from the United States to Russia by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying policy officially announced within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government, including the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration, or the White House, announces the resumption of any direct commercial passenger flights from the United States to Russia by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any qualifying policy officially announced within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,140
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government, including the Department of Transportation, the Federal Aviation Administration, or the White House, announces the resumption of any direct commercial passenger flights from the United States to Russia by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying policy officially announced within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.