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Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?

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Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$7,789 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$7,789 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs into law a bill by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that mandates the sale or disposal of substantial federal public land managed by a federal agency (e.g. Bureau of Land Management, U.S. Forest Service). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Bills with exclusions (e.g. for national parks, wilderness areas, or tribal lands) may still qualify, as long as the primary effect is the mandated sale or disposal of substantial public land holdings.

To qualify, the bill must mandate the sale or disposal of large-scale federal public land—such as BLM or Forest Service land—not merely buildings or isolated parcels.

The resolution source a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,789
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Market Opened
Jun 20, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs into law a bill by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that mandates the sale or disposal of substantial federal public land managed by a federal agency (e.g. Bureau of Land Management, U.S. Forest Service). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Bills with exclusions (e.g. for national parks, wilderness areas, or tribal lands) may still qualify, as long as the primary effect is the mandated sale or disposal of substantial public land holdings. To qualify, the bill must mandate the sale or disposal of large-scale federal public land—such as BLM or Forest Service land—not merely buildings or isolated parcels. The resolution source a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs into law a bill by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that mandates the sale or disposal of substantial federal public land managed by a federal agency (e.g. Bureau of Land Management, U.S. Forest Service). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Bills with exclusions (e.g. for national parks, wilderness areas, or tribal lands) may still qualify, as long as the primary effect is the mandated sale or disposal of substantial public land holdings.

To qualify, the bill must mandate the sale or disposal of large-scale federal public land—such as BLM or Forest Service land—not merely buildings or isolated parcels.

The resolution source a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,789
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Market Opened
Jun 20, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs into law a bill by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that mandates the sale or disposal of substantial federal public land managed by a federal agency (e.g. Bureau of Land Management, U.S. Forest Service). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Bills with exclusions (e.g. for national parks, wilderness areas, or tribal lands) may still qualify, as long as the primary effect is the mandated sale or disposal of substantial public land holdings. To qualify, the bill must mandate the sale or disposal of large-scale federal public land—such as BLM or Forest Service land—not merely buildings or isolated parcels. The resolution source a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 20, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.