Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

$183,972 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announce that the United States is ending its participation in the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran as an active negotiating party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official announcements will qualify. Informal remarks, statements of intent, or reports of delays, pauses, or tactical shifts will not count unless clearly framed as a decision to withdraw from the negotiations.

Statements that the U.S. will no longer attend future rounds, has walked away from talks, or is suspending engagement on the nuclear issue will qualify if presented as official policy.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.
Volume
$183,972
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Jun 11, 2025, 10:29 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$183,972 Vol.

Market icon

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announce that the United States is ending its participation in the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran as an active negotiating party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official announcements will qualify. Informal remarks, statements of intent, or reports of delays, pauses, or tactical shifts will not count unless clearly framed as a decision to withdraw from the negotiations.

Statements that the U.S. will no longer attend future rounds, has walked away from talks, or is suspending engagement on the nuclear issue will qualify if presented as official policy.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.
Volume
$183,972
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Jun 11, 2025, 10:29 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.