Trump approval rating on December 5?
$76,948 Vol.
41.0–41.4 100.0%
<40.5 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.5–41.9 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<40.5
$18,488 Vol.
No
<40.5
$18,488 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$12,793 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$12,793 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$14,415 Vol.
Yes
41.0–41.4
$14,415 Vol.
Yes
41.5–41.9
$12,249 Vol.
No
41.5–41.9
$12,249 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$10,835 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$10,835 Vol.
No
42.5+
$8,169 Vol.
No
42.5+
$8,169 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 5, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market
Created At: Nov 28, 2025, 3:04 PM UTC
Volume
$76,948End Date
Dec 5, 2025Created At
Nov 28, 2025, 3:04 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$76,948 Vol.
Trump approval rating on December 5?
41.0–41.4 100.0%
<40.5 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.5–41.9 <1%
<40.5
$18,488 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$12,793 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$14,415 Vol.
Yes
41.5–41.9
$12,249 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$10,835 Vol.
No
42.5+
$8,169 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$76,948End Date
Dec 5, 2025Created At
Nov 28, 2025, 3:04 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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