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Politics·Trump

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

<1% chance
Polymarket

$28,874 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$28,874 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles remains firmly in her role as of the March 31 deadline, driving trader consensus to 99.5% on "No" with no credible reports of resignation, firing, or departure. Her March 16 announcement of early-stage breast cancer diagnosis, coupled with President Trump's public affirmation and her own statement committing to full-time duties during treatment, quelled any speculation and underscored her indispensability as a longtime Trump advisor. High turnover has marked the early administration, yet Wiles has navigated controversies like a December Vanity Fair profile without displacement. Only an undisclosed last-minute exit or unforeseen health escalation could alter resolution, though institutional transparency makes this improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,874
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles remains firmly in her role as of the March 31 deadline, driving trader consensus to 99.5% on "No" with no credible reports of resignation, firing, or departure. Her March 16 announcement of early-stage breast cancer diagnosis, coupled with President Trump's public affirmation and her own statement committing to full-time duties during treatment, quelled any speculation and underscored her indispensability as a longtime Trump advisor. High turnover has marked the early administration, yet Wiles has navigated controversies like a December Vanity Fair profile without displacement. Only an undisclosed last-minute exit or unforeseen health escalation could alter resolution, though institutional transparency makes this improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,874
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between December 16, 2025, and the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?" has generated $28.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.