Following Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 in Trump v. Barbara, justices across the ideological spectrum—including conservatives like Barrett, Alito, Kavanaugh, and Thomas—expressed deep skepticism toward President Trump's Executive Order 14160, issued January 20, 2025, which seeks to deny birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment to U.S.-born children of undocumented parents lacking full jurisdictional allegiance. Lower courts issued nationwide injunctions blocking the order shortly after issuance, citing the 1898 precedent in United States v. Wong Kim Ark affirming broad birthright protections. Trader consensus at 93.7% Yes for SCOTUS striking down the EO reflects these bench signals and historical barriers to executive redefinition of constitutional citizenship, with a ruling anticipated by late June amid ongoing immigration policy debates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$109,349 Vol.
$109,349 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
$109,349 Vol.
$109,349 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 in Trump v. Barbara, justices across the ideological spectrum—including conservatives like Barrett, Alito, Kavanaugh, and Thomas—expressed deep skepticism toward President Trump's Executive Order 14160, issued January 20, 2025, which seeks to deny birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment to U.S.-born children of undocumented parents lacking full jurisdictional allegiance. Lower courts issued nationwide injunctions blocking the order shortly after issuance, citing the 1898 precedent in United States v. Wong Kim Ark affirming broad birthright protections. Trader consensus at 93.7% Yes for SCOTUS striking down the EO reflects these bench signals and historical barriers to executive redefinition of constitutional citizenship, with a ruling anticipated by late June amid ongoing immigration policy debates.
The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$109,349End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 in Trump v. Barbara, justices across the ideological spectrum—including conservatives like Barrett, Alito, Kavanaugh, and Thomas—expressed deep skepticism toward President Trump's Executive Order 14160, issued January 20, 2025, which seeks to deny birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment to U.S.-born children of undocumented parents lacking full jurisdictional allegiance. Lower courts issued nationwide injunctions blocking the order shortly after issuance, citing the 1898 precedent in United States v. Wong Kim Ark affirming broad birthright protections. Trader consensus at 93.7% Yes for SCOTUS striking down the EO reflects these bench signals and historical barriers to executive redefinition of constitutional citizenship, with a ruling anticipated by late June amid ongoing immigration policy debates.
The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$109,349End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 in Trump v. Barbara, justices across the ideological spectrum—including conservatives like Barrett, Alito, Kavanaugh, and Thomas—expressed deep skepticism toward President Trump's Executive Order 14160, issued January 20, 2025, which seeks to deny birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment to U.S.-born children of undocumented parents lacking full jurisdictional allegiance. Lower courts issued nationwide injunctions blocking the order shortly after issuance, citing the 1898 precedent in United States v. Wong Kim Ark affirming broad birthright protections. Trader consensus at 93.7% Yes for SCOTUS striking down the EO reflects these bench signals and historical barriers to executive redefinition of constitutional citizenship, with a ruling anticipated by late June amid ongoing immigration policy debates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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