Trader consensus heavily favors Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, with "No" implying 89.5% probability, reflecting his entrenched control amid no verified challenges to his authority. Recent public engagements, including his March 23 directive for balanced use of surging energy revenues and a March 27 request for elite funding to support military efforts, underscore active leadership. An 80% approval rating in March, sustained nationalist support from the Ukraine conflict, and constitutional changes enabling rule until 2036 diminish exit risks. Absent elite defections, health crises, or coup signals—despite occasional speculation—traders see formidable barriers to removal, though escalation in Ukraine or internal pressures could alter dynamics before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3,400,302 Vol.
$3,400,302 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$3,400,302 Vol.
$3,400,302 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, with "No" implying 89.5% probability, reflecting his entrenched control amid no verified challenges to his authority. Recent public engagements, including his March 23 directive for balanced use of surging energy revenues and a March 27 request for elite funding to support military efforts, underscore active leadership. An 80% approval rating in March, sustained nationalist support from the Ukraine conflict, and constitutional changes enabling rule until 2036 diminish exit risks. Absent elite defections, health crises, or coup signals—despite occasional speculation—traders see formidable barriers to removal, though escalation in Ukraine or internal pressures could alter dynamics before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,400,302End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, with "No" implying 89.5% probability, reflecting his entrenched control amid no verified challenges to his authority. Recent public engagements, including his March 23 directive for balanced use of surging energy revenues and a March 27 request for elite funding to support military efforts, underscore active leadership. An 80% approval rating in March, sustained nationalist support from the Ukraine conflict, and constitutional changes enabling rule until 2036 diminish exit risks. Absent elite defections, health crises, or coup signals—despite occasional speculation—traders see formidable barriers to removal, though escalation in Ukraine or internal pressures could alter dynamics before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,400,302End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus heavily favors Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, with "No" implying 89.5% probability, reflecting his entrenched control amid no verified challenges to his authority. Recent public engagements, including his March 23 directive for balanced use of surging energy revenues and a March 27 request for elite funding to support military efforts, underscore active leadership. An 80% approval rating in March, sustained nationalist support from the Ukraine conflict, and constitutional changes enabling rule until 2036 diminish exit risks. Absent elite defections, health crises, or coup signals—despite occasional speculation—traders see formidable barriers to removal, though escalation in Ukraine or internal pressures could alter dynamics before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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