Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range for the U.S. average retail price of Grade A large eggs in March 2026, backed by Bureau of Labor Statistics data showing February's price at $2.50—down 3% from January's $2.577 and over 50% below 2025 peaks—driven by contained highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks and recovering layer flocks. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 25.5% reflects expectations of modest stabilization, as USDA weekly reports note late-March wholesale prices dipping to $1.17 per dozen and advertised retail averages hitting a 2026 low of $1.80. Key swing factor: any unreported HPAI detections; resolution awaits BLS March CPI release on April 10.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 5.8%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,297 Vol.
$388,297 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 5.8%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,297 Vol.
$388,297 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range for the U.S. average retail price of Grade A large eggs in March 2026, backed by Bureau of Labor Statistics data showing February's price at $2.50—down 3% from January's $2.577 and over 50% below 2025 peaks—driven by contained highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks and recovering layer flocks. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 25.5% reflects expectations of modest stabilization, as USDA weekly reports note late-March wholesale prices dipping to $1.17 per dozen and advertised retail averages hitting a 2026 low of $1.80. Key swing factor: any unreported HPAI detections; resolution awaits BLS March CPI release on April 10.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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