Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Name: Number of US flights delayed on March 25?
Start: 2026-03-24T22:10:10.043Z
End: 2026-03-26T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Airport

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Mar 26

<8000 98.4%

8500-9000 <1%

>11000 <1%

9000-9500 <1%

$14,404 Vol.

Mar 26, 2026

<8000

$8,516 Vol.

98%

8000-8500

$1,413 Vol.

8500-9000

$755 Vol.

9000-9500

$755 Vol.

9500-10000

$741 Vol.

10000-10500

$741 Vol.

10500-11000

$729 Vol.

>11000

$754 Vol.

<8000 98.4%

8500-9000 <1%

>11000 <1%

9000-9500 <1%

$14,404 Vol.

Mar 26, 2026

<8000

$8,516 Vol.

98%

8000-8500

$1,413 Vol.

8500-9000

$755 Vol.

9000-9500

$755 Vol.

9500-10000

$741 Vol.

10000-10500

$741 Vol.

10500-11000

$729 Vol.

>11000

$754 Vol.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Favorable weather forecasts across major US aviation hubs and steady FAA operations have solidified trader consensus on fewer than 8000 delayed flights on March 25, with that outcome commanding 98.6% implied probability. Recent days saw daily delays averaging under 6000 amid post-winter normalization, resolved staffing shortages at key airports like Atlanta and Chicago, and no recurring air traffic control issues following January's NOTAM outage. Airlines report on-schedule performance, bolstered by lighter spring break volumes. Challenges could arise from unforeseen events like sudden East Coast nor'easters, cyber disruptions, or mechanical failures at high-traffic carriers, though historical base rates for such low-disruption days exceed 90% in clear conditions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 26, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<8000" at 98%, followed by "8000-8500" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" has generated $14.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" is "<8000" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "8000-8500" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $14.4K traded on “Number of US flights delayed on March 25?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 98¢ for "<8000" in the "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 98% chance that "<8000" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 98¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 2¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" market has a growing discussion of 7 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Comments (7)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"?

What are the current odds for "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"?

How will "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"?

What does a price of 98¢ for "<8000" mean?

When does the "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"?

What is Polymarket?