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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 14%

UNRWA 6%

Yulia Navalnaya 6%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 3.4%

$3,104,024 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$3,104,024
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
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Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 14%

UNRWA 6%

Yulia Navalnaya 6%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 3.4%

$3,104,024 Vol.

Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,410,189 Vol.

14%

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UNRWA

$23,583 Vol.

6%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$31,007 Vol.

6%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$33,606 Vol.

3%

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International Court of Justice

$20,158 Vol.

3%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$67,510 Vol.

3%

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Greta Thunberg

$18,383 Vol.

3%

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Pope Leo XIV

$19,755 Vol.

2%

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Narendra Modi

$121,401 Vol.

1%

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Khaled Mashal

$47,796 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$209,460 Vol.

1%

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Charlie Kirk

$146,697 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$70,055 Vol.

1%

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António Guterres

$8,220 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$72,378 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$132,508 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$82,663 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$395,834 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$134,410 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Putin

$58,410 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$3,104,024
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.