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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 6.6%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

International Court of Justice 5.6%

$3,553,456 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$3,553,456
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 6.6%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

International Court of Justice 5.6%

$3,553,456 Vol.

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Donald Trump

$1,513,367 Vol.

13%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$164,722 Vol.

7%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$43,580 Vol.

7%

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International Court of Justice

$53,674 Vol.

6%

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UNRWA

$29,368 Vol.

3%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$40,533 Vol.

3%

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Pope Leo XIV

$55,426 Vol.

3%

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Greta Thunberg

$35,793 Vol.

3%

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Charlie Kirk

$154,629 Vol.

2%

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Narendra Modi

$123,884 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$398,006 Vol.

1%

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Khaled Mashal

$49,871 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$212,562 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$167,294 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$79,102 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Putin

$86,677 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$148,290 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$94,631 Vol.

1%

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António Guterres

$19,312 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$84,688 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$3,553,456
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Beware of external links.