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Next French Presidential Election

$1,258,180 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 31%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$1,258,180
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$1,258,180 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 31%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$41,071 Vol.

31%

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Édouard Philippe

$30,771 Vol.

15%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$49,619 Vol.

11%

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Marine Le Pen

$33,283 Vol.

8%

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Dominique de Villepin

$57,241 Vol.

7%

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Gabriel Attal

$31,013 Vol.

6%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$4,922 Vol.

5%

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Sarah Knafo

$39,188 Vol.

4%

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Bruno Retailleau

$23,545 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$23,465 Vol.

3%

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David Lisnard

$21,444 Vol.

2%

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Juan Branco

$22,939 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$21,569 Vol.

1%

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François Hollande

$30,574 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$33,647 Vol.

1%

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Clémence Guetté

$6,149 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$19,988 Vol.

1%

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Olivier Faure

$21,628 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$18,538 Vol.

1%

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Jean Castex

$37,417 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$26,255 Vol.

1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$24,635 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$17,412 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$121,053 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$32,005 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$53,621 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$62,338 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$86,978 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$29,374 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$16,720 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$28,428 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$64,752 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$48,407 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$24,632 Vol.

<1%

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François Bayrou

$20,030 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$33,530 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,258,180
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.