Next French Presidential Election

Name: Next French Presidential Election
Start: 2025-11-13T23:10:18.574088Z
End: 2027-04-30T00:00:00Z

Jordan Bardella 24%

Marine Le Pen 17%

Édouard Philippe 13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

$1,673,430 Vol

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella
$122,293 Vol.
24%

Marine Le Pen
$76,900 Vol.
17%

Édouard Philippe
$35,859 Vol.
13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$55,675 Vol.
11%

Dominique de Villepin
$70,444 Vol.
7%

David Lisnard
$28,668 Vol.
6%

Gabriel Attal
$35,069 Vol.
5%

Sarah Knafo
$46,427 Vol.
5%

Sébastien Lecornu
$11,773 Vol.
4%

Bruno Retailleau
$31,135 Vol.
3%

Raphaël Glucksmann
$31,632 Vol.
2%

Éric Zemmour
$44,773 Vol.
2%

Juan Branco
$34,221 Vol.
1%

François Hollande
$40,017 Vol.
1%

Gérald Darmanin
$27,919 Vol.
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
$21,228 Vol.
1%

Jean Castex
$41,791 Vol.
1%

François Ruffin
$22,849 Vol.
1%

Marine Tondelier
$38,107 Vol.
1%

Clémence Guetté
$8,948 Vol.
<1%

Olivier Faure
$25,685 Vol.
<1%

Ségolène Royal
$75,628 Vol.
<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
$22,275 Vol.
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$34,810 Vol.
<1%

Fabien Roussel
$67,591 Vol.
<1%

François Asselineau
$91,080 Vol.
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$34,939 Vol.
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
$23,483 Vol.
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
$33,845 Vol.
<1%

Carole Delga
$69,880 Vol.
<1%

Manuel Bompard
$147,125 Vol.
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
$63,064 Vol.
<1%

Clémentine Autain
$56,314 Vol.
<1%

Michel Barnier
$29,861 Vol.
<1%

François Bayrou
$33,633 Vol.
<1%

Mathilde Panot
$38,491 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Volume

$1,673,430

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 24%

Marine Le Pen 17%

Édouard Philippe 13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

$1,673,430 Vol

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella

$122,293 Vol.

24%

Marine Le Pen

$76,900 Vol.

17%

Édouard Philippe

$35,859 Vol.

13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$55,675 Vol.

11%

Dominique de Villepin

$70,444 Vol.

David Lisnard

$28,668 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$35,069 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$46,427 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$11,773 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$31,135 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$31,632 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$44,773 Vol.

Juan Branco

$34,221 Vol.

François Hollande

$40,017 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$27,919 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,228 Vol.

Jean Castex

$41,791 Vol.

François Ruffin

$22,849 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$38,107 Vol.

Clémence Guetté

$8,948 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$25,685 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$75,628 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$22,275 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$34,810 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$67,591 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$91,080 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$34,939 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$23,483 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$33,845 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$69,880 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$147,125 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$63,064 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$56,314 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$29,861 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$33,633 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$38,491 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,673,430

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

French election called by June 30, 2026?

37%

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

50%

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

65%

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella$122,293 Vol.24%buy Yes25¢buy No78¢

Marine Le Pen$76,900 Vol.17%buy Yes17¢buy No84¢

Édouard Philippe$35,859 Vol.13%buy Yes14¢buy No88¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$55,675 Vol.11%buy Yes12¢buy No90¢

Dominique de Villepin$70,444 Vol.7%buy Yes7.2¢buy No93.0¢

David Lisnard$28,668 Vol.6%buy Yes8.0¢buy No96.7¢

Gabriel Attal$35,069 Vol.5%buy Yes6¢buy No96¢

Sarah Knafo$46,427 Vol.5%buy Yes5.1¢buy No95.1¢

Sébastien Lecornu$11,773 Vol.4%buy Yes5¢buy No97¢

Bruno Retailleau$31,135 Vol.3%buy Yes3.5¢buy No96.7¢

Raphaël Glucksmann$31,632 Vol.2%buy Yes2.3¢buy No98.0¢

Éric Zemmour$44,773 Vol.2%buy Yes1.9¢buy No98.6¢

Juan Branco$34,221 Vol.1%buy Yes1.1¢buy No99.1¢

François Hollande$40,017 Vol.1%buy Yes1.0¢buy No99.2¢

Gérald Darmanin$27,919 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.3¢

Laurent Wauquiez$21,228 Vol.1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.5¢

Jean Castex$41,791 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

François Ruffin$22,849 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

Marine Tondelier$38,107 Vol.1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.6¢

Clémence Guetté$8,948 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.6¢

Olivier Faure$25,685 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.7¢

Ségolène Royal$75,628 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Bernard Cazeneuve$22,275 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet$34,810 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Fabien Roussel$67,591 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Asselineau$91,080 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$34,939 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Valérie Pécresse$23,483 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Élisabeth Borne$33,845 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Carole Delga$69,880 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Manuel Bompard$147,125 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Xavier Bertrand$63,064 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Clémentine Autain$56,314 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Michel Barnier$29,861 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Bayrou$33,633 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Mathilde Panot$38,491 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context