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Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday?

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Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$68,868 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$68,868 Vol.

On January 3, 2024, Bill Ackman tweeted a 4,064-word novella (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1742441534627184760). The potential victory of Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral race has renewed speculation of an Ackman sequel.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Ackman’s current X (Twitter) account, @BillAckman, posts any single tweet longer than 4,064 words by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

Threads do not aggregate.

Only the original version of the tweet as first posted will be considered.

The word count will be determined by pasting the tweet’s full text into wordcounter.net.
Volume
$68,868
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 4, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
On January 3, 2024, Bill Ackman tweeted a 4,064-word novella (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1742441534627184760). The potential victory of Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral race has renewed speculation of an Ackman sequel. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Ackman’s current X (Twitter) account, @BillAckman, posts any single tweet longer than 4,064 words by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Threads do not aggregate. Only the original version of the tweet as first posted will be considered. The word count will be determined by pasting the tweet’s full text into wordcounter.net.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On January 3, 2024, Bill Ackman tweeted a 4,064-word novella (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1742441534627184760). The potential victory of Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral race has renewed speculation of an Ackman sequel.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Ackman’s current X (Twitter) account, @BillAckman, posts any single tweet longer than 4,064 words by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

Threads do not aggregate.

Only the original version of the tweet as first posted will be considered.

The word count will be determined by pasting the tweet’s full text into wordcounter.net.
Volume
$68,868
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 4, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
On January 3, 2024, Bill Ackman tweeted a 4,064-word novella (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1742441534627184760). The potential victory of Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral race has renewed speculation of an Ackman sequel. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Ackman’s current X (Twitter) account, @BillAckman, posts any single tweet longer than 4,064 words by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Threads do not aggregate. Only the original version of the tweet as first posted will be considered. The word count will be determined by pasting the tweet’s full text into wordcounter.net.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday? " has generated $68.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.