President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, primarily due to a hold by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who supports Warsh but insists the DOJ drop its criminal investigation into incumbent Chair Jerome Powell over a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation before advancing. Powell, whose term ends May 15, has affirmed he will stay until a successor is confirmed, while recent Iran conflict escalation drives inflation concerns via higher oil prices, challenging Warsh's anticipated rate-cut stance. A confirmation hearing is set for mid-April, with committee progress hinging on resolving the Powell probe and any Democratic scrutiny, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren's questions on Warsh's past associations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$440,980 Vol.
May 15, 2026
May 1
11%
May 15
52%
$440,980 Vol.
May 1
$292,516 Vol.
11%
May 15
$148,464 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, primarily due to a hold by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who supports Warsh but insists the DOJ drop its criminal investigation into incumbent Chair Jerome Powell over a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation before advancing. Powell, whose term ends May 15, has affirmed he will stay until a successor is confirmed, while recent Iran conflict escalation drives inflation concerns via higher oil prices, challenging Warsh's anticipated rate-cut stance. A confirmation hearing is set for mid-April, with committee progress hinging on resolving the Powell probe and any Democratic scrutiny, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren's questions on Warsh's past associations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Volume
$440,980End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, primarily due to a hold by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who supports Warsh but insists the DOJ drop its criminal investigation into incumbent Chair Jerome Powell over a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation before advancing. Powell, whose term ends May 15, has affirmed he will stay until a successor is confirmed, while recent Iran conflict escalation drives inflation concerns via higher oil prices, challenging Warsh's anticipated rate-cut stance. A confirmation hearing is set for mid-April, with committee progress hinging on resolving the Powell probe and any Democratic scrutiny, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren's questions on Warsh's past associations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$440,980End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, primarily due to a hold by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who supports Warsh but insists the DOJ drop its criminal investigation into incumbent Chair Jerome Powell over a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation before advancing. Powell, whose term ends May 15, has affirmed he will stay until a successor is confirmed, while recent Iran conflict escalation drives inflation concerns via higher oil prices, challenging Warsh's anticipated rate-cut stance. A confirmation hearing is set for mid-April, with committee progress hinging on resolving the Powell probe and any Democratic scrutiny, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren's questions on Warsh's past associations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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