Iran strike on US military in August?
$110,561 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Created At: Aug 5, 2024, 10:04 PM UTC
Volume
$110,561End Date
Aug 31, 2024Created At
Aug 5, 2024, 10:04 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$110,561 Vol.
Iran strike on US military in August?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Volume
$110,561End Date
Aug 31, 2024Created At
Aug 5, 2024, 10:04 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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