Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her established position in a district that leans Democratic, her decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million compared to her opponent's roughly $350,000. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Jeff Wilson's Republican nomination and focus on energy, border security, and fiscal issues have not shifted the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout surge in key areas like Champaign or the Metro East could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
$18,258 Vol.
$18,258 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nikki Budzinski (D)
95%
Jeff Wilson (R)
5%
$18,258 Vol.
$18,258 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nikki Budzinski (D)
$8,108 Vol.
95%
Jeff Wilson (R)
$10,150 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her established position in a district that leans Democratic, her decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million compared to her opponent's roughly $350,000. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Jeff Wilson's Republican nomination and focus on energy, border security, and fiscal issues have not shifted the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout surge in key areas like Champaign or the Metro East could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,258End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her established position in a district that leans Democratic, her decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million compared to her opponent's roughly $350,000. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Jeff Wilson's Republican nomination and focus on energy, border security, and fiscal issues have not shifted the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout surge in key areas like Champaign or the Metro East could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,258End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her established position in a district that leans Democratic, her decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million compared to her opponent's roughly $350,000. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Jeff Wilson's Republican nomination and focus on energy, border security, and fiscal issues have not shifted the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout surge in key areas like Champaign or the Metro East could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions