Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her incumbency advantage, decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent statewide results. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Budzinski’s substantial fundraising edge and established support among key voting blocs in areas such as Champaign, Springfield, and the Metro East further reinforce trader consensus around her position. Jeff Wilson, the Republican nominee following his primary win, faces structural headwinds including lower visibility and resources. Late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unforeseen candidate issues, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the gap, though none have emerged to alter current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
$18,258 Vol.
$18,258 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nikki Budzinski (D)
95%
Jeff Wilson (R)
5%
$18,258 Vol.
$18,258 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nikki Budzinski (D)
$8,108 Vol.
95%
Jeff Wilson (R)
$10,150 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her incumbency advantage, decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent statewide results. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Budzinski’s substantial fundraising edge and established support among key voting blocs in areas such as Champaign, Springfield, and the Metro East further reinforce trader consensus around her position. Jeff Wilson, the Republican nominee following his primary win, faces structural headwinds including lower visibility and resources. Late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unforeseen candidate issues, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the gap, though none have emerged to alter current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,258End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her incumbency advantage, decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent statewide results. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Budzinski’s substantial fundraising edge and established support among key voting blocs in areas such as Champaign, Springfield, and the Metro East further reinforce trader consensus around her position. Jeff Wilson, the Republican nominee following his primary win, faces structural headwinds including lower visibility and resources. Late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unforeseen candidate issues, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the gap, though none have emerged to alter current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,258End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her incumbency advantage, decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent statewide results. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Budzinski’s substantial fundraising edge and established support among key voting blocs in areas such as Champaign, Springfield, and the Metro East further reinforce trader consensus around her position. Jeff Wilson, the Republican nominee following his primary win, faces structural headwinds including lower visibility and resources. Late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unforeseen candidate issues, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the gap, though none have emerged to alter current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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