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How many times will Trump tweet this week?

Market icon

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

11-15 100.0%

1-10 <1%

16-20 <1%

21-25 <1%

Polymarket

$1,948,387 Vol.

11-15 100.0%

1-10 <1%

16-20 <1%

21-25 <1%

Polymarket

$1,948,387 Vol.

1-10

$83,405 Vol.

No

11-15

$516,900 Vol.

Yes

16-20

$228,641 Vol.

No

21-25

$109,761 Vol.

No

26-30

$79,542 Vol.

No

31-35

$84,092 Vol.

No

36-40

$67,577 Vol.

No

41-45

$77,867 Vol.

No

46-49

$56,365 Vol.

No

50+

$644,238 Vol.

No

If Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts between 16 (inclusive) and 20 (inclusive) times on X between August 12, 2024, 9:00 AM ET and August 16, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1345967072006828033 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,948,387
End Date
Aug 16, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2024, 1:26 PM ET
If Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts between 16 (inclusive) and 20 (inclusive) times on X between August 12, 2024, 9:00 AM ET and August 16, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1345967072006828033 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many times will Trump tweet this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11-15" at 100%, followed by "1-10" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many times will Trump tweet this week?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many times will Trump tweet this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many times will Trump tweet this week?" is "11-15" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1-10" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many times will Trump tweet this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.