Name: How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?
Start: 2025-01-08T17:09:15.929323Z
End: 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on the number of Executive Orders that Trump will issue on his first day in office.

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs less than 10 executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 10 (inclusive) and 14 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


10-14

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 15 (inclusive) and 19 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


15-19

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 20 (inclusive) and 24 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


20-24

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 25 (inclusive) and 29 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


25-29

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 30 (inclusive) and 34 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


30-34

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 35 (inclusive) and 39 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


35-39

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs 40 or more executive orders on January 20, 2025. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market. 


Trump Daily EOs

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 29, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?

This market will resolve to the number of executive orders issued by Donald Trump on January 22, 2025.

This market will resolve exclusively on the number of executive orders issued; executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 22, 2025 will count for this market.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 8, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 2, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 28, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 27, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 1, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 25, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 24, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).


Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 21?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 13, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 23?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 31, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 3, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 3, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 15?

This market will resolve to the number of executive orders issued by Donald Trump on January 21, 2025.

This market will resolve exclusively on the number of executive orders issued; executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 21, 2025 will count for this market.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 2?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 16?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 22, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 22?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 24?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 1?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 26, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 26, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 13, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 20?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 30, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

 Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 23, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 15, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 18, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 25?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 28?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 2?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 18, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 18?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 20?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 22, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 27?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 3, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 3?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 15, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 15?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 26, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 8, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 21?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 24-28)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. 

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (April 12-18)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (May 10-16)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (May 24-30)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 7-13)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.


Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 28 - July 4)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 12 - July 18)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.



How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

<10
$426,829 Vol.
No

10-14
$323,677 Vol.
No

15-19
$194,292 Vol.
No

20-24
$284,147 Vol.
No

25-29
$707,489 Vol.
Yes

30-34
$200,960 Vol.
No

35-39
$202,957 Vol.
No

40+
$2,324,155 Vol.
No

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

Rules

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

About

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

<10$426,829 Vol.Nocircle xmark

10-14$323,677 Vol.Nocircle xmark

15-19$194,292 Vol.Nocircle xmark

20-24$284,147 Vol.Nocircle xmark

25-29$707,489 Vol.Yescircle check

30-34$200,960 Vol.Nocircle xmark

35-39$202,957 Vol.Nocircle xmark

40+$2,324,155 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

Rules

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

Market Context

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

About

<10
$426,829 Vol.
No

10-14
$323,677 Vol.
No

15-19
$194,292 Vol.
No

20-24
$284,147 Vol.
No

25-29
$707,489 Vol.
Yes

30-34
$200,960 Vol.
No

35-39
$202,957 Vol.
No

40+
$2,324,155 Vol.
No