President Trump's approval rating has declined to 37-41% in recent polling averages like CNN Poll of Polls and RealClearPolitics, marking second-term lows amid the ongoing Iran war—where 60% disapprove of his handling per Pew Research—and economic discontent, with economy approval at 31% due to high gas prices and a partial government shutdown. Polls dipped sharply after the war's early April escalation but stabilized following a two-week ceasefire on April 7, though independents (26% approval) and non-college whites turned net negative. Traders eye further drops if conflict prolongs or inflation persists, versus rebounds from diplomatic breakthroughs, key economic data releases, or budget resolutions ahead of November midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$62,786 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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6%
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$62,786 Vol.
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$33,542 Vol.
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$5,440 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined to 37-41% in recent polling averages like CNN Poll of Polls and RealClearPolitics, marking second-term lows amid the ongoing Iran war—where 60% disapprove of his handling per Pew Research—and economic discontent, with economy approval at 31% due to high gas prices and a partial government shutdown. Polls dipped sharply after the war's early April escalation but stabilized following a two-week ceasefire on April 7, though independents (26% approval) and non-college whites turned net negative. Traders eye further drops if conflict prolongs or inflation persists, versus rebounds from diplomatic breakthroughs, key economic data releases, or budget resolutions ahead of November midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$62,786End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined to 37-41% in recent polling averages like CNN Poll of Polls and RealClearPolitics, marking second-term lows amid the ongoing Iran war—where 60% disapprove of his handling per Pew Research—and economic discontent, with economy approval at 31% due to high gas prices and a partial government shutdown. Polls dipped sharply after the war's early April escalation but stabilized following a two-week ceasefire on April 7, though independents (26% approval) and non-college whites turned net negative. Traders eye further drops if conflict prolongs or inflation persists, versus rebounds from diplomatic breakthroughs, key economic data releases, or budget resolutions ahead of November midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$62,786End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has declined to 37-41% in recent polling averages like CNN Poll of Polls and RealClearPolitics, marking second-term lows amid the ongoing Iran war—where 60% disapprove of his handling per Pew Research—and economic discontent, with economy approval at 31% due to high gas prices and a partial government shutdown. Polls dipped sharply after the war's early April escalation but stabilized following a two-week ceasefire on April 7, though independents (26% approval) and non-college whites turned net negative. Traders eye further drops if conflict prolongs or inflation persists, versus rebounds from diplomatic breakthroughs, key economic data releases, or budget resolutions ahead of November midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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