How long will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands for?
$302,803 Vol.
≥10s 100.0%
<2s <1%
2–4s <1%
4–6s <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
<2s
$49,015 Vol.
No
<2s
$49,015 Vol.
No
2–4s
$44,152 Vol.
No
2–4s
$44,152 Vol.
No
4–6s
$41,634 Vol.
No
4–6s
$41,634 Vol.
No
6–8s
$31,906 Vol.
No
6–8s
$31,906 Vol.
No
8–10s
$38,846 Vol.
No
8–10s
$38,846 Vol.
No
≥10s
$97,250 Vol.
Yes
≥10s
$97,250 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin during the day (AKDT) of their next meeting. Any handshake recorded on that date (AKDT) will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be based on video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be based on video footage.
Created At: Aug 13, 2025, 2:29 PM
Volume
$302,803End Date
Aug 15, 2025Created At
Aug 13, 2025, 2:29 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$302,803 Vol.
How long will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands for?
≥10s 100.0%
<2s <1%
2–4s <1%
4–6s <1%
<2s
$49,015 Vol.
No
2–4s
$44,152 Vol.
No
4–6s
$41,634 Vol.
No
6–8s
$31,906 Vol.
No
8–10s
$38,846 Vol.
No
≥10s
$97,250 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$302,803End Date
Aug 15, 2025Created At
Aug 13, 2025, 2:29 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...



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