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Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

19°C 49%

20°C 40%

21°C 7.6%

22°C 3.9%

Polymarket

$208,775 Vol.

19°C 49%

20°C 40%

21°C 7.6%

22°C 3.9%

Polymarket

$208,775 Vol.

13°C or below

$4,567 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$125,292 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$25,903 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$14,635 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$11,763 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$9,741 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$3,155 Vol.

44%

20°C

$3,259 Vol.

40%

21°C

$4,830 Vol.

9%

22°C

$3,061 Vol.

4%

23°C or higher

$3,825 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C at Wellington International Airport under persistent cloud cover, afternoon rain, and strengthening northerlies that cap solar heating and introduce cooler air advection, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus and March climatological averages of 20°C highs. Trader sentiment narrowly favors 20°C (42%) over 19°C (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud break timing or lighter winds allowing brief insolation spikes, as seen in recent days' variability (e.g., March 28 peaked at 21-22°C despite similar setup). NIWA and global models show a tight 18-20°C spread, with key differentiators being northerly gusts above 30 km/h versus calmer periods boosting temperatures by 1°C; updated guidance expected early March 29 before resolution based on official airport observations.

MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C at Wellington International Airport under persistent cloud cover, afternoon rain, and strengthening northerlies that cap solar heating and introduce cooler air advection, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus and March climatological averages of 20°C highs. Trader sentiment narrowly favors 20°C (42%) over 19°C (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud break timing or lighter winds allowing brief insolation spikes, as seen in recent days' variability (e.g., March 28 peaked at 21-22°C despite similar setup). NIWA and global models show a tight 18-20°C spread, with key differentiators being northerly gusts above 30 km/h versus calmer periods boosting temperatures by 1°C; updated guidance expected early March 29 before resolution based on official airport observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C at Wellington International Airport under persistent cloud cover, afternoon rain, and strengthening northerlies that cap solar heating and introduce cooler air advection, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus and March climatological averages of 20°C highs. Trader sentiment narrowly favors 20°C (42%) over 19°C (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud break timing or lighter winds allowing brief insolation spikes, as seen in recent days' variability (e.g., March 28 peaked at 21-22°C despite similar setup). NIWA and global models show a tight 18-20°C spread, with key differentiators being northerly gusts above 30 km/h versus calmer periods boosting temperatures by 1°C; updated guidance expected early March 29 before resolution based on official airport observations.

MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C at Wellington International Airport under persistent cloud cover, afternoon rain, and strengthening northerlies that cap solar heating and introduce cooler air advection, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus and March climatological averages of 20°C highs. Trader sentiment narrowly favors 20°C (42%) over 19°C (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud break timing or lighter winds allowing brief insolation spikes, as seen in recent days' variability (e.g., March 28 peaked at 21-22°C despite similar setup). NIWA and global models show a tight 18-20°C spread, with key differentiators being northerly gusts above 30 km/h versus calmer periods boosting temperatures by 1°C; updated guidance expected early March 29 before resolution based on official airport observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 44%, followed by "20°C" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" has generated $208.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is "19°C" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20°C" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.