National Weather Service forecasts from the New York office project a high temperature of 54-57°F at Central Park—New York City's official measurement site—on April 2, under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle and east-northeasterly winds around 10 mph, driving the market's 92.5% implied probability for 59°F or below. This positioning stems from the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing a stalled frontal boundary and persistent cool maritime air mass suppressing daytime heating after today's warmer conditions near 75°F. Trader consensus aligns with high confidence in these short-range projections, given minimal divergence among guidance. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar insolation or a wind shift to southerly flow, potentially nudging peaks into the low 60s°F; watch the evening forecast update for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 2?
59°F or below 92%
60-61°F 4.7%
62-63°F 1.9%
64-65°F <1%
$48,962 Vol.
$48,962 Vol.
59°F or below
92%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
59°F or below 92%
60-61°F 4.7%
62-63°F 1.9%
64-65°F <1%
$48,962 Vol.
$48,962 Vol.
59°F or below
92%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the New York office project a high temperature of 54-57°F at Central Park—New York City's official measurement site—on April 2, under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle and east-northeasterly winds around 10 mph, driving the market's 92.5% implied probability for 59°F or below. This positioning stems from the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing a stalled frontal boundary and persistent cool maritime air mass suppressing daytime heating after today's warmer conditions near 75°F. Trader consensus aligns with high confidence in these short-range projections, given minimal divergence among guidance. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar insolation or a wind shift to southerly flow, potentially nudging peaks into the low 60s°F; watch the evening forecast update for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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