Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for 38°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 2, aligning closely with the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s March 31 bulletin forecasting a maximum around 38°C under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear conditions. Yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C (+2.1°C above normal) and current April 1 readings near 36°C reflect ongoing pre-monsoon diurnal heating amid dry weather, following recent thunderstorms that briefly cooled northwest India by 3–4°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 36–38°C, with IMD's above-normal seasonal outlook for April–June reinforcing this positioning. Uncertainties include possible haze or light winds capping peaks at 37°C (31.5% odds), with intraday IMD updates and airport observations key before resolution. (112 words)
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 2?
38°C 43%
37°C 32%
39°C 20%
36°C 9%
$12,754 Vol.
$12,754 Vol.
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
32%
38°C
43%
39°C
20%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 43%
37°C 32%
39°C 20%
36°C 9%
$12,754 Vol.
$12,754 Vol.
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
32%
38°C
43%
39°C
20%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for 38°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 2, aligning closely with the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s March 31 bulletin forecasting a maximum around 38°C under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear conditions. Yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C (+2.1°C above normal) and current April 1 readings near 36°C reflect ongoing pre-monsoon diurnal heating amid dry weather, following recent thunderstorms that briefly cooled northwest India by 3–4°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 36–38°C, with IMD's above-normal seasonal outlook for April–June reinforcing this positioning. Uncertainties include possible haze or light winds capping peaks at 37°C (31.5% odds), with intraday IMD updates and airport observations key before resolution. (112 words)
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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