India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and short-range forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on April 1, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability, as current readings at Lucknow Airport peaked near 35.5°C by mid-afternoon under clear skies and light westerly winds around 8-11 km/h. This aligns with early April climatology, where average highs hover around 36°C amid seasonal heating and dry conditions, following yesterday's 37.3°C (+2.1°C above normal). Model consensus shows minimal intensification potential due to stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected radiative heating pushing to 37°C+ late-day or urban heat island effects at the official measurement station, though low cloud cover favors the 36°C outcome; final IMD report expected post-1730 IST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
36°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
35°C <1%
38°C <1%
$75,560 Vol.
$75,560 Vol.
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
35°C <1%
38°C <1%
$75,560 Vol.
$75,560 Vol.
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and short-range forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on April 1, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability, as current readings at Lucknow Airport peaked near 35.5°C by mid-afternoon under clear skies and light westerly winds around 8-11 km/h. This aligns with early April climatology, where average highs hover around 36°C amid seasonal heating and dry conditions, following yesterday's 37.3°C (+2.1°C above normal). Model consensus shows minimal intensification potential due to stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected radiative heating pushing to 37°C+ late-day or urban heat island effects at the official measurement station, though low cloud cover favors the 36°C outcome; final IMD report expected post-1730 IST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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